Finance-minded analysis for sports cards and TCG.
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Episode 54
Episode 54: Don’t Buy New Card Releases!
May 26, 2026New card releases almost always drop 40% within months. We break down the release premium, grading lag, and supply flood that drive every modern hype cycle.
Episode 53
Episode 53: Modern Cards Are Overvalued (Value vs. Growth)
May 26, 2026One year of 174 card flips revealed a 22-point win-rate gap. We map the value premium onto vintage and modern cards and ask whether modern is overvalued.
Episode 52
Episode 52: How To Read the Card Market Like a Wall Street Analyst
May 26, 2026Apply the Wyckoff method to seven card ladder charts. See which segments are early markup, which are running hot, and which are flashing distribution signals.
Episode 51
Episode 51: The Process I Use to Find Undervalued Cards (And the 4-Month Hunt I Walked Away From)
May 26, 2026The full process for finding undervalued sports cards: postmortem tagging, the MLD framework, and a Messi vs Ronaldo valuation that exposed a 33x mispricing.
Episode 50
Episode 50: Why You See ‘Buying, 80%’ (And What to Do About It)
Apr 20, 2026The 80% rule was built for bulk-collection buys, not slabbed singles. We break down the math, the anchoring psychology, and how sellers can stop reinforcing it.
Episode 49
Episode 49: The Discoverable Market: Why Cards Aren’t Like Stocks
Apr 14, 2026Apply Fama's efficient market hypothesis and Malkiel's random walk to sports cards. Why card markets are neither efficient nor random — they're discoverable, and that creates edge.
Episode 48
Episode 48: Negotiation and How to Get Leverage in Sports Cards
Apr 7, 2026Apply Chris Voss's tactical empathy, calibrated questions, and accusation audits to card show negotiations. Plus a real Austin show buy that proves the framework works.
Episode 47
Episode 47: Diving into Liquidity: 3 Types and How To Exit the Pool
Mar 31, 2026Market, asset, and funding liquidity in the card market. Why CardLadder lies, how thin markets break in both directions, and the 14-day exit discipline rule.
Episode 46
Episode 46: Financial Inertia: What Breaks the Card Market
Mar 23, 2026Overconfidence, loss aversion, and herd behavior keep card prices frozen until they aren't. We unpack inelastic markets, dealer probe pricing, and how trends really break.
Episode 45
Episode 45: Becoming the Card Show Oracle
Mar 17, 2026Apply Fama-French factor investing to sports cards. We unpack supply, gem rate, and momentum factors plus the Akerlof lemons problem at every card show table.