Finance-minded analysis for sports cards and TCG.
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Episode 56
Episode 56: PSA: The Federal Reserve of The Hobby
Jun 18, 2026On June 2nd PSA closed all four value tiers with 10 million cards in backlog. We read it as a rate hike, compare it to 2021, and watch the raw-to-graded spread.
Episode 55
Episode 55: Mangos, Messi, and Market Cap: The Hidden Math of Card Prices
Jun 18, 2026A desert island mango story unpacks supply, demand, float, and graded market cap across the 2014, 2018, and 2022 Messi Prizm Silver PSA 10s.
Episode 54
Episode 54: Don’t Buy New Card Releases!
May 26, 2026New card releases almost always drop 40% within months. We break down the release premium, grading lag, and supply flood that drive every modern hype cycle.
Episode 53
Episode 53: Modern Cards Are Overvalued (Value vs. Growth)
May 26, 2026One year of 174 card flips revealed a 22-point win-rate gap. We map the value premium onto vintage and modern cards and ask whether modern is overvalued.
Episode 52
Episode 52: How To Read the Card Market Like a Wall Street Analyst
May 26, 2026Apply the Wyckoff method to seven card ladder charts. See which segments are early markup, which are running hot, and which are flashing distribution signals.
Episode 51
Episode 51: The Process I Use to Find Undervalued Cards (And the 4-Month Hunt I Walked Away From)
May 26, 2026The full process for finding undervalued sports cards: postmortem tagging, the MLD framework, and a Messi vs Ronaldo valuation that exposed a 33x mispricing.
Episode 50
Episode 50: Why You See ‘Buying, 80%’ (And What to Do About It)
Apr 20, 2026The 80% rule was built for bulk-collection buys, not slabbed singles. We break down the math, the anchoring psychology, and how sellers can stop reinforcing it.
Episode 49
Episode 49: The Discoverable Market: Why Cards Aren’t Like Stocks
Apr 14, 2026Apply Fama's efficient market hypothesis and Malkiel's random walk to sports cards. Why card markets are neither efficient nor random — they're discoverable, and that creates edge.
Episode 48
Episode 48: Negotiation and How to Get Leverage in Sports Cards
Apr 7, 2026Apply Chris Voss's tactical empathy, calibrated questions, and accusation audits to card show negotiations. Plus a real Austin show buy that proves the framework works.
Episode 47
Episode 47: Diving into Liquidity: 3 Types and How To Exit the Pool
Mar 31, 2026Market, asset, and funding liquidity in the card market. Why CardLadder lies, how thin markets break in both directions, and the 14-day exit discipline rule.